Tag Archives: Predictions

2016: Ten Predictions to Count On

by Jim Parker, DFA

2016: Ten Predictions to Count On by Jim ParkerThe New Year is a customary time to speculate. In a digital age, when past forecasts are available online, market and media professionals find it harder to hide their blushes when their financial predictions go awry. But there are ways around that.

The ignominy that goes with making bold forecasts was highlighted in a recent newspaper article, which listed many bad calls US economists had made about 2015. These included getting the timing of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increase wrong, incorrectly calling for a rise in long-term bond yields, and assuming an end to the commodity rout.1

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Don’t Rely on a Crystal Ball! Use Research to Plan for Your Financial Future

Don’t Rely on a Crystal Ball! Use Research to Plan for Your Financial Future by Jeff Holland{2:15 minutes to read} At amusement parks, the fortune-teller is always a major attraction.

Predictions are fun. Predictions are entertaining. Ultimately, though, predictions cause problems – especially in the market. Using predictions to plan your financial future is extremely risky. Continue reading